MEASURING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INTERNATIONAL TOURIST DEMAND (CASE STUDY OF INDONESIA)
Abstract
This paper tries to investigate whether there is a relationship between international trade and international tourist arrivals in Indonesia using panel data. For measuring the consistency of the variables, the authors used three models such as Pooled Least Squared (PLS), Fixed Effect, and Random Effect. Using 34 countries of origin from 2006-2016. As the control variables, tourist arrivals in the previous year, GDP, population of origin country, visa-free policy, price ratio, and distance were used in helping to build the model. The results showed that there is a positive correlation between International trade and international tourist arrivals. Tourist arrivals in the previous year, GDP of origin country, population of origin country, and visa-free policy have a positive correlation for international tourist arrivals. While distance, and price ratio have a negative significant correlation. These results can be supportive of government strategies that aim to enhance the country’s trade value as well as stimulate Indonesia’s international tourism demand.
Keywords: International Tourism Demand, International Trade, Panel Data, Indonesia
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Arandhyula, S., & Tronstad, R. (2003). Does Tourism Promote Cross-Border Trade?. Journal Agriculture Economics, 85(3), 569–579.
Balli, F., Balli, H. O., & Cebeci, K. (2013). Impact of the Exported Soap Operas and Visa-Free Entry on Inbound Tourism of Turkey. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Brau, R., & Pinna, A. M. (2013). Movements of People for Movements of Goods?. World Economic, 36(10), 1318–1332.
Chaisumpulsakul, W., & Pholphirul, P. (2016). Does International Trade Promote International Tourism Demand? Evidence from Thailand’s Trading Partners. Kasetsart Journals of Social Science. Kasetsart University.
Deardorff, A. V. (1998). Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassical World? In: Frankel, J. (Ed.), The Regionalization of World Economy. University of Chicago Press, 7–22.
Eilat, Y., & d Einav, L. (2004). Determinants of International Tourism: A Three-Dimensional Panel Data Analysis. Applied Economics, 36, 1315–1327.
Garin-Munoz, T. (2007). German Demand for Tourism in Spain. Tourism Management, 28(1), 12-22.
Hanafiah, M. H. M., & Harun, M. F. M. (2010). Tourism Demand in Malaysia: A cross-sectional Pool Time-Series Analysis. International Journal of Trade, Economics, and Finance, 1(1), 80-83.
Nahar, F. H., Adha, M. A., Azizurrohman, M., Ulfi, I., & Karimah, H. (2019). International Tourism Demand in Indonesia: Gravity Model Approach. Journal Economics and Policy, 12(2), 298-317.
Marrocu, E., & Paci, R. (2011). They Arrive with New Information: Tourism Flows and Production Efficiency in The European Regions. Tour. Management, 32(4), 750–758.
Melitz, M. J. (2003). The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity. Econometrica, 71, 1695–1725.
Phakdisoth, L., & Kim, D. (2007). The Determinants of Inbound Tourism in Laos. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 24(2), 225- 237.
Surugiu, C., Leitão, N. C., & Surugiu, M. (2011). A Panel Data Modelling of International Tourism Demand: Evidences for Romania. Economic Research, 24(1), 134-145.
Sinclair, M. T. (1998). Tourism and Economic Development: A Survey. Journal Development Studies, 34(5), 1–51.
SICE. (2007). Foreign Trade Information System
Tedesse, B., & White, R. (2010). Cultural Distance as a Determinant of Bilateral Trade Immigrants Counter the Effect of Cultural Distance. Applied Economics Letters.
WTO. (2006). International Trade Statistics. World Trade Organization, Geneva.
WTTC. (2005). Progress and Priorities 2005/2006. World Travel and Tourism Council, London.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.20961/jaedc.v5i1.42427
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2021 Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries
|