Fitri Susilowati, Lilik Siswanta, Suryanto Suryanto


The objective of the study is to determine the probability of tobacco farmers experiencing crop failure as a result of climate change. The agricultural sector, includes tobacco, is a commodity that is vulnerable due to climate change. Climate change is a natural phenomenon that cannot be avoided. Symptoms of this natural phenomenon are rainfall, humidity, irradiation and temperature of floods, droughts or shifts in seasons. If these symptoms are not anticipated, the farmers have the potential to experience loss and declining in the production of copper in the temanggung, as the backbone of the economy of Central Java Province. The research method used is Qualitative Descriptive statistics with Logistic Regression. Techniques for collecting data using questionnaire techniques, interviews, observation and literature. The sample in this study amounted to 100 respondents who were tobacco farmers in the Parakan District. Based on the results of the study of independent variables that affect the probability of harvest failure of tobacco farmers in the Parakan sub-district are: (1) Age, (2) Duration of Farming, (3) Labor Wage Level, (4) Farmer Group Membership.

Keywords: Adaptation, Climate Change, Logistic, Crop Failure

Full Text:



Budiastuti, S. (2010). Phenomenon of Climate Change and Continuity of Agricultural Production: A Review of Empowerment of Land Resources. Ecoscience Journal, 2(1).

Central Bureau of Statistic. (2017). Parakan District in 2017. Temanggung.

Central Bureau of Statistic. (2017). Temangung Regency in 2017. Temanggung.

Cheung, L. T. O., & Jim, C. Y. (2014). Expectations and Willingness-to-Pay for Ecotourism Services in Hong Kong’s Conservation Areas. International Journal of Sustainable Development, 21(2), 149-159.

Ellis, E. (2015). Farmers Willingness to Pay for Crop Insurance: Evidence from Eastern Ghana. Thesis. Department of Agricultural Economics McGill University.

Ghazanfar, S., Qi-wen, Z., Abdullah, M., Ahmad, Z., & Lateef, M. (2015). Farmers' Perception and Awareness and Factors Affecting Awareness of Farmers Regarding Crop Insurance as a Risk Coping Mechanism Evidence from Pakistan. Journal of Northeast Agricultural University, 22(1), 76-82.

Glover, D., & Onn, L. P. (2008). The Environment, Climate Change, and Natural Resources in Southeast Asia: Issues and Challenges. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 25(1), 1-6.

Handoko, I., Sugiarto, Y., & Syaukat, Y. (2008). Linkages to Climate Change and Strategic Food Production: Review of Independent Policies in the Field of Trade and Development. SEAMEO BIOTROP for Kemitraan Partnership.

Hayati, E. (2014). Logistic Regression Analysis to Know the Factors Affecting the Frequency of Customer Dignity at Shopping Center X. EKBIS Journal, 12(3).

Hendayana, R. (2013). Application of Logistic Regression Methods in Analyzing Adoption of Agricultural Technology. Journal of Agricultural Informatics, 22(1), 1-9.

Irawan. (2012). Adaptation to Climate Change to Maintain Rice Production in Java. Soil Research Center, Bogor. Retrieved from

Koatchen, M. J., Boyle, K., & Leiserowitz, A. A. (2013). Willingness-To-Pay and Policy-Instrument Choice for Climate-Change Policy in The United States. Energy Policy Journal. Retrieved from

Kurniawati, F. (2012). Knowledge and Adaptation of Vegetable Farmers towards Climate Change. Case Study: Cibodas, Lembang District, West Bandung. Thesis. Padjajaran University.

Sadikin, P. N., Mulatsih, S., Pramudya, B., & Arifin, H. S. (2017). Willingness to Pay Towards Ecotourism of Mount Rinjani National Park. Jurnal Forestry Policy Analysis, 14(1), 31-46.

Saptutyningsih, E., & Suryanto, S. (2011). Hedonic Price Approach of Flood Effect on Agricultural Land. Economic Journal of Emerging Market, 3(1).

Solihin, A., & Sukartini, N.M. (2013). Farmer Response to Case Technology Development in Gadungan Village, Tabanan, Bali. Journal of Applied Quantitative Economics, 6, 128- 139.

Sukirno, S. (2013). Microeconomy: Induction Theory. Jakarta: PT. Raja Grafindo Persada.

Susilowati, F. (2016). Risk Management of Tobacco Production Facing Climate Change in the Economic Valuation Approach and Geographic Information System (GIS). Final Research Report of the Kemenristek Beginning Lecturer.


  • There are currently no refbacks.