Impact of Land Transport, Infrastructure, and Population on GRDP (2016–2020) in 31 Indonesian Provinces

Desy Fortuna Ratnasari, Diah Pramesti, Eka Dyah Pramusinta

Abstract


Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) is widely recognized as a key indicator for measuring the economic performance of each province. It serves as a benchmark to describe and evaluate the level of economic growth and the general welfare of the population within a given region. Various factors are believed to influence GRDP, among which transportation systems, infrastructure development, and population size are considered critical. This research aims to analyze the extent to which these three variables—land transportation, infrastructure, and population—affect the GRDP of 33 provinces in Indonesia over the period from 2016 to 2020. The study employs a multiple linear regression analysis using panel data to test the relationships among the variables. The results of the analysis reveal that: (1) land transportation has a positive but statistically insignificant influence on GRDP, (2) infrastructure also exhibits a positive yet insignificant effect on GRDP, and (3) population size demonstrates a positive and statistically significant effect on GRDP. These findings suggest that while transportation and infrastructure contribute positively, their effects are not strong enough to be deemed statistically significant within the scope of this study, unlike population, which plays a more impactful role in regional economic performance.


Keywords


economic growth; infrastructure; population; transportation

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.20961/bfde.v4i1.109691

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