ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI VOLUME EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA PERIODE 1984-2014

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the factors that affect the volume of exports of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Indonesia in the period of 1984-2014. The dependent variable used in this study is the export volume of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia. While the independent variable is the price of CPO International, International Price Soybean Oil, Rupiah Exchange Rate (Exchange), and the Growth Domestic Product (GDP) World.

The results of the tests that have been done through the method of Ordinary Least Square (OLS), which variables that influence on Indonesian CPO export volume is variable from Soybean Oil and variables of Rupiah Exchange Rate (Exchange). While the variable of the International CPO prices and variables of World GDP price does not give effect to the Indonesia's CPO export volume.

Suggestions for this research include: (1) A business agent of CPO are expected to take advantage of this situation, because of whatever the level of the CPO price in the international market, does not affect the level of consumer demand for CPO of Indonesia, (2) business agent of CPO is expected able to take advantage of this situation by increasing the volume of deals for CPO, (3) Government and businesses of CPO should give attention and make the exchange rate as one of the considerations in determining the volume of Indonesian CPO exports, and (4) the Government and businesses does not need to consider how is the movement of GDP of the world in determining the volume of Indonesian CPO exports.

Keywords: Crude Palm Oil, The Export Volume Of CPO, The OLS Method